After a strong 2008 election, Obama slips nationally, and in nearly every state.

October 22, 2012

It’s worth analyzing each and every state to determine just where the President is falling behind from his huge win in 2008.  And the results suggest, nearly everywhere.  Which shouldn’t be that big of a surprise now that election polling has put Gov. Romney and Pres. Obama in a dead heat with only weeks remaining.  Certainly one of the closest elections in recent history, with the end result maybe on the Gore/Bush level.

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polling figures provided by RealClearPolitics.com
Many swing states that were flipped in 2008 have flipped back.  Which gets to the point.

In 2008 the President had the ability to campaign against an unpopular Republican Party for months, drawing massive crowds for speeches and giving roaring addresses that captivated the hearts/minds of many.  In contrast, 2012 is a different sort of story.  After such sky-high promises it has come down to a case of imminent letdown.  It’s one thing to make promise of sweeping change, it’s another to try to effect them during some of the most turbulent economic times in recent history.

In 2012 there are no speeches, there’s a fierce battle.  One which both sides have focused on with negative ads.  It seems this is more a case of who can tell us why not to vote for the other guy the most.  Which brings us to the state of the race as it is now.  WHY is it leaning in this direction?  Well that’s fairly simple.  After the Democratic convention, President Obama got a massive bump.  You know why?  Bill Clinton.  That’s it.  Clinton outlined the path for the next 4 years in a manner which the President hasn’t to date even attempted.  In 2 debate performances and a speech at the DNC he has done little to outline new plans.  Clinton did for him, and instead of grabbing that torch and outlining a future for us to embrace…..that lead evaporated.  Not that Romney is a better campaigner, but through the first debate he started to outline an idea for what he wanted to do with this country.  He laid out a 5 point plan and scoffed at the notion that the President would attack it, only further reinforcing his positive plan for action.
We’re left here, with the President wilting due to an inability to be Clinton-esque.  To describe a goal, a plan, a vision.  Instead Romney has seized that momentum while keeping the President on his heels.  The next 3 weeks may shift dramatically in one direction or another.  But make no mistake about it, the 2008 campaign that the President mastered so gracefully, is not the 2012 campaign he has failed at so miserably.

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